Thursday, April 18, 2013

losttech


In 1989 the National Science Foundation warned that the H-1B visa program to bring in low wage workers to replace US programmers and engineers would distort the market, leading US students to abandon science and technology. In 1995 students were told IT was goo job. By 2004 the San Jose Mercury News reported that 50% of U.S. tech workers have been displaced from the profession by workers getting a green card in lieu of average wages. No inventor works alone, many in a community contribute parts to every invention. Increasingly US students are being denied access to the IT community as the USA loses leadership in technology.
Who Lost Tech?
1989 H-1B legislation says that firms with less than 15% of their total workforce are H-1B visa holders, are not H-1B dependent,and need not offer engineering jobs to US citizens. Note that that in more than 95% of software firms, engineers do not make up 15% of workers (most are in sales, or general office support). Workers employed by contractors are not counted so 100% of engineering labor can be H-1B visa holders, and the firm be, by rule, be H-1B independent.

In 2000 a member of Congress showed how legislation is bought. "This [H-1B expansion legislation] is not a popular bill with the public. It's popular with the CEOs...This is a very important issue for the high-tech executives who give the money"--Rep. Tom Davis, was then Chair of the Republican Congressional Campaign Committee. His constituents were 7:1 against H-1B.

2008 "...a Ph.D. in computer science is probably a financial loser in both the short and long terms, says [Cisco Systems Vice President for Research] Douglas Comer" -- Science Careers.

Should your son or daughter study engineering? "The half life of an engineer, hardware or software, is only a few years" -- former Intel CEO/Chairman Craig Barrett

2008 candidate Barack Obama raises $7.8 million in one night from CEOs of tech firms wanting more H-1B visas to cut labor cost, they claimed a shortage of workers.

"It is extraordinarily unlikely for a severe shortage to happen in a way that doesn't result in very large wage increases" -- Kirk Doran, University of Notre Dame economist, commenting on the minuscule rate at which software developer wages are rising.

2009 Greenspan says legal and illegal immigration cut middle class wages, a “good” thing.

February 2013, "We thus see that no best and brightest trend was found for the former foreign students in either computer science or electrical engineering," Matloff writes in his report. "On the contrary, in the CS case the former foreign students appear to be somewhat less talented on average, as indicated by their lower wages, than the Americans."

2013 “We [in tech] control massive distribution channels, both as companies and individuals...We have individuals with a lot of money. If deployed properly this can have huge influence in the current campaign finance environment" -- Joe Green, leader of Mark Zuckerberg's new immigration lobbying group that wants more immigrant labor, while Fannie Mae and Homeland Security have engineering that is close to 100% H-1B and H-1B graduates, hiring almost no one born n the USA.

April 2013 Congress writes new immigration bill with help of an immigration law firm that advised employers on how to NOT hire US citizens, a bill that provides more green cards so Facebook and avoid becoming H-1B dependent and thus be forced to offer jobs to US citizens.

Congress lost tech, and in the search for campaign funds, put the USA at risk.

Monday, April 15, 2013

AskCongressH-1B

Congress is not comfortable with the facts about H-1B or just do not know any.
Frankly, are members of Congress are not comfortable when asked to show the benefits from any of their actions, or the money the spend? Asking for the benefits from H-1B is is like asking for the benefits from the war on drugs or the invasion of Iraq. Congress acts like a small business selling off the assets of their constituents, rather than being expected to show a profit from the billions spent.

Ask your congressman to show how you have benefited from the 20+ years of the H-1B program driving down wages in the tech ndustry, driving down wages in an area that was touted as a good investment for students 20 years ago, 10 years ago, but not today.  How did Congress keep those investments in tech careers from paying off?

Congress has a very low approval rating. They did not earn that from listening to you.
Congress Holding Steady at 15%

Here are three  quotes that say their investment in H-1B for you is not paying off (but maybe your Senator has facts he wants to share with you?)

"...a Ph.D. in computer science is probably a financial loser in both the short and long terms, says [Cisco Systems Vice President for Research] Douglas Comer" -- Science Careers, April 11, 2008 

 "GAO noted that... the availability of foreign H-1B post-docs may discourage US students from earning biomedical degrees because of typically lengthy post-docs at relatively low wages" -- Conference Report, Dynamics of the STEM Labor Market, Georgetown University, 2011

"It is extraordinarily unlikely for a severe shortage to happen in a way that doesn't result in very large wage increases" -- Kirk Doran, University of Notre Dame economist, commenting on the minuscule rate at which software developer wages are rising. More H-1B Quotes

Ask your senator to show you your return on investment (ROT) for 20 years of low tech wages and careers that do not last 10 years.

Ask your Senator:

You represent all your constituents, not just the 1%, and you support H-1B, a program that has been running for more than 20 years, a generation. In 1989 the National Science Foundation  said that it would discourage US citizens from getting degrees and jobs in science, and now many federal agencies appear to be staffed with almost 100% foreign born technical workers.

1. What evidence do you have that that your average constituent benefits from this program when it appears they are shut out of much of the spending of their tax dollars to obtain technical service? Where is the proof this program benefits them?  Where are the test results? How many agencies pay more foreign born technical workers than USA born workers?  What are the percentages?

There have been billions of dollars of wages lost by US citizens, to support a program.  Had that program been called "Clean Water", you would be showing us the water was cleaner, or we we would know the money was wasted.

2. You say we need foreign graduates with advanced degrees, but can you show that advanced degrees in STEM subjects pay off for US citizens?

 "...a Ph.D. in computer science is probably a financial loser in
both the short and long terms, says [Cisco Systems Vice President for
Research] Douglas Comer" -- Science Careers, April 11, 2008

3. Does evidence  show that there are there real careers in computer science, when a CEO of Intel has said that "the half-life of a programmer is two years."?

4. for the majority of your constituents, where is the beef in H-1b? The return on their loss of income to foreign workers?

5. Can you show students in your district a financial benefit?

6. what genius scientific breakthrough has Google made? Face book? Isn't their genius presentation, not technical? Just good advertising?

Why does Congress want to ignore you?  Maybe these quotes answer that: money talks:

"[We in tech] control massive distribution channels, both as companies and individuals...We have individuals with a lot of money. If deployed properly this can have huge influence in the current campaign finance environment" -- Joe Green, leader of Mark Zuckerberg's new immigration lobbying group

In 2000, Rep. Tom Davis said," (H-1B) is not a popular bill with the public. It's popular with the CEOs." "This is a very important issue for the high-tech executives who give the money." Rep. Davis said his constituent mail was seven to one against H-1B.


Saturday, April 13, 2013

H1B_Brightest

A Know-Nothing Congress

Sometimes we forget, or want to, that we did not elect geniuses in every subject to Congress, we elected people we hoped would be good managers, like the simplest company can hire to handle purchases, and they would gather facts and spend our money wisely. Of course, that simple business would fire any manager that accepted gifts or any sort of benefit from salesmen, so that is not the kind of manager we got; we got the ones that accept and even demand gifts and are not upset that only 13% of the citizens think they are trust worthy.  They know they can lie to us with half truths, and use our money to pay back campaign contributors, and we can't get them fired because they own the microphone.

H-1B is an issue that would get them fired if that was possible, here is what they say they learned from their hearings (hearings look like evidence gathering, like you might see in a court, but the rules would make Judge Roy Bean blush.)

What Congress tells us they learned from taking money from lobbyists and then listening to them (I am not joking, John Kerry said that if you get the money first, then they are not paying you for a favour. If that was so, 95% of drug sale convictions would be thrown out)

If you think that in a capitalist economic system that companies compete on wage and offer workers more money to get better workers, and do not offer public services (the rights you get with a green card) as an inducement to come to the USA to work, you can forget that; these companies expect the tax payer to educate the children of their foreign workers, and after citizenship and "family reunification", they expect the taxpayer to take care of those expenses, thus socializing the cost of their labour, just as banks expect that  the taxpayer will take care of their gambles on the housing bubble. Socialized expenses, but private profits. Do you really need to give up a raise this year so that the billionaires at Google, Microsoft, Face Book, and Oracle can take home a few more million?


What they heard:
1. There is a shortage of skilled engineers.  Not a shortage of engineers willing to accept the low wages they are offering, but a real shortage.
2. The skills they need are not available from US citizens, only the citizens of low wage countries like India and China.
3. The only people that have those skills want green cards and to come to the USA, and have the US taxpayer, not the employer, provide them services.
4. US schools are horrible, a disgrace. Ignore the fact that foreign geniuses want to bring their children here and put them in those schools.
5.  Indians and Chinese are smarter than Americans.
6. The H-1B makes the US more competitive by bringing the world's best and brightest here, where they can work with other Indians and Chinese (not stupid Americans, right?)
7. The best and brightest are willing to work for Wall Mart for $35,000 which is less than the 1995 entry level wage for an IT college graduate.
8. Some Indians and Chinese are really good, everyone agrees on that.
 9. Indian and Chinese engineers make US business more profitable.

The facts are:
1. No reliable study has ever shown any lack of skilled Americans willing to work for wages similar to other professions with the same demands.
2. Many of the immigrants employers want to hire were trained in US universities by "old men" (over 30) that the industry does not want to hire.
3. US citizens will not accept a green card in lieu of wages, that is true.
4. There is no one US school.  US schools that are not burdened with illegal aliens are generally doing fine and the USA graduates many of the best scientists in the world.
5. You can prove that by looking at India and China, but no study shows that.
 There are billionaires in India and China, if these guys,and their pals are so smart, why are they here?
6. The H-1B program distorts the wage market (just as it is designed to do), and discourages US students from entering it (just exactly as the National Science Foundation said would happen in 1989).
7. If so how do we know that they are bright?
8. In the 500,000 US born engineers they replaced, there were also some really bright people, and everyone agrees that is true.
9. Indian and Chinese engineers deny jobs to US engineers on whom our future security and industry depend.

The facts are, the H-1B program is all about cutting middle class wages, just as Alan Greenspan said was good for Wall Street, and bad for workers.

It is just about wages, not a bit about the best and brighest, BUT it has replace more than 2 million Americans, who were willing to work hard for a decent wage, with 2 million lower wage, and often resentful, legal aliens.

Dr. Norman Matloff at the the University of California at Davis has analyzed government data and compared it to industry claims and found them wanting . What follows is an extract of his work, the full  text can be found at:
CohenAndGrigsbyPrevailingWage.txt

Date: Sat, 23 Jun 2007 21:33:22 -0700
From: Norm Matloff <matloff@cs.ucdavis.edu>
To: Norm Matloff <matloff@cs.ucdavis.edu>
Subject: Cohen & Grigsby and the prevailing-wage scam

To: H-1B/L-1/offshoring e-newsletter

I've constantly harped on the fact that the reason employers are so
anxious to hire foreign workers is that they use those workers as cheap
labor.  I've also repeatedly stressed the fact that the crux of the
abuse of the H-1B and employer-sponsored green card programs is the
LEGAL LOOPHOLES in the prevailing wage requirement which both of those
programs have.  These loopholes enable employers to pay their foreign
workers well below what they would have to pay Americans.  In short, the
legally-defined prevailing wage is typically well below the real market
wage.

Here I will give readers a further look at how Cohen & Grigsby, the law
firm in the YouTube scandal, makes use of these legal loopholes.  You'll
see some intriguing data, with big implications.  You'll also see
another egregious example of public statements by the firm which are 
exactly the opposite of their private actions.

I looked at all the PERM (green card) applications filed in 2004 by
Cohen & Grigsby for Software Engineer positions.  (This is from a Dept.
of Labor Web site, http://www.flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx  Note that
this is NOT the LCA data.  The salaries here are guaranteed to be the
actual salaries for specific workers.)

Here are the results, showing the actual salary, claimed prevailing wage
and employer name, sorted by salary:

   45000.000000 42390.000000 "Algor Inc."
   45150.000000 44762.000000 "Bayer Corporate and Business Services LLC"
   49504.000000 44762.000000 "Bayer Corporate and Business Services LLC"
   60980.000000 64189.000000 "Hexware Technologies
....  (see site for full data)
 
88000.000000 67621.000000 "Ansoft Corporation"
   110000.000000 70242.000000 "Ansoft Corporation"

Now, first of all, let's confirm what we already know.  Of the 83
entries, 74 are less than the OES mean for 2004, $77,330, for Software
Engineers, Applications, and 79 are less in the case of Software
Engineers, Systems Software.  Remember, this is perfectly legal, but
it certainly shows that these people are hired as cheap labor.

But I want to call your attention to something different.  I sorted the
data by salary in order to highlight the fact that there are a lot of
DUPLICATE ODDBALL SALARIES--for different employers.  In other words,
you have several employers offering exactly the same salary, in fact,
the same non-round-number salary.

For instance, 8 different companies, ranging from Bayer Corporate and
Business Services LLC to Union Switch & Signal Inc., ALL
"coincidentally" were paying their Software Engineers the SAME salary of
$64,420!

How come?  Well, prior to the law enacted in December 2004, employers
were allowed to pay 5% below prevailing wage.  And if you look at the
prevailing wages, in the second column above, you will see that that
$64,420 figure is exactly 5% below prevailing wage!  And if you look at
the other applications listed above, you'll see that most are also
exactly 5% below their prevailing wage.

Now, don't jump to conclusions here.  THIS 5% IS NOT AN INTERESTING
LOOPHOLE in its own right.  I'm not pointing to the fact that Cohen &
Grigsby was taking advantage of that extra 5%; that's nickel and dime
stuff.  No, look a little deeper.

What this data shows is a lack of a competitive market, with two
interesting implications:  

1.  We have a bizarre situation in which "the tail is wagging the dog."
The law firm is telling the employers how much to pay their workers!
And it's telling them all to pay the same amount.

2.  The Americans hired by these companies undoubtedy vary from each
other in their salaries, because they can negotiate.  In other words,
you see that THE FOREIGN NATIONALS ARE IN NO POSITION TO NEGOTIATE.
This shows yet another way in which the employers can get away with
paying foreign workers less than Americans.
 Please recall that the prevailing wage is typically a lowball figure to
begin with, well below the market wage.  Though the press accounts have
focused on the firm's comment in video 9 on how to avoid hiring
Americans, video 12 is just as damning, as the law firm talked about how
to get a prevailing wage that can be, in the Cohen & Grigsby attorney
Jennifer Pack's own words, "$10,000 to $15,000" below the market.  Yet
the foreign nationals accept this lowball salary, because in the deal
they are getting a form of nonmonetary compensation which is highly
valuable to them--a U.S. green card.

I love exposing hypocrisy.  Recall that in my original analysis of the
TubeGate videos, at

http://heather.cs.ucdavis.edu/Archive/YouTubeVideosH1B.txt

I pointed to the rank hypocrisy of the Cohen & Grigsby firm.  One of the
firm's attorneys, Matt Phillips, told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette that
employers do their best to try to find Americans to fill a spot before
resorting to hiring foreign workers--when in the videos, in which
Phillips speaks, the firm is telling employers how to AVOID finding
Americans.

Well, I'm including below an even more outrageous example of the firm's
hypocrisy below, this one on the prevailing wage issue.  This is an
op-ed by Larry Lebowitz, a partner in the firm who served as the MC in
the YouTube videos.  I'm including the full text below, but here are the
highlights:

First, Lebowitz again claims that employers do their best to find
American workers:

#  U.S. companies that bring in foreign professionals usually do so as a
#  last resort

By now you know that there are a number of statements in the videos
which show that to be a lie.

Next, Lebowitz assures readers:

# To hire H-1Bs, a company must: Guarantee the H-1B will be paid the
# prevailing wage or better...

Again, remember in the video, the firm shows how the prevailing wage is
typically lower than the market wage.
 
 And get this one!

#  These rules actually help U.S. workers, too, by keeping wages high,
#  ensuring that U.S. workers are not displaced and keeping corporate
#  productivity high.

I'm trying not to constantly use the word "chutzpah" in my series of 
postings on Cohen & Grigsby, but what other word fits?  I guess I can
say, "unmitigated audacity." :-)

Now, no lobbyist op-ed and planted article would be complete without
examples of "poster child" companies that supposedly are desperate to
hire, can't find American workers in spite of herculean efforts, and
"must" hire H-1Bs.  Well, one of Lebowitz's poster children here is
Marconi Communications, a major firm you may have noticed in my PERM
data list above.  For instance, Marconi was one of the eight firms that
were all paying their Software Engineers exactly the same oddball figure
of $64,240.  Some desperation, huh?

Norm

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

We need the best and brightest 

The growth of Pittsburgh technology firms is hampered by a freeze on visas
for skilled foreign workers. Let them in.

Sunday, May 21, 2000

By Lawrence M. Lebowitz

CoManage Corp. is a Wexford-based developer of software packages for the
telecommunications industry. Like many high-technology firms, here and
elsewhere throughout the country, the company depends on high-quality talent
to develop products and move them to market fast, before the competition.
The problem: There's a shortage of domestic software engineering talent.
 
(see link for the rest) 
 
also see: How To Under Pay H-1B Workers
 

Friday, April 12, 2013

Students


 
Congress: A Reverse Robin Hood; Stealing from the Middle Class
  Congress wants to expand a program that is intended to drive down middle class wages and every year gives 88,000 jobs, paying three times Virginia's median wage, to ordinary immigrant workers. Is this the time for you to give up a job or pay raise so that billionaires at Facebook ans Google  can profit?


In 2011 I got to know a young woman, Katie, who was working as a checker at Giant. Pleasant, willing to work, intelligent, she is easy to like. When she went off to college, I gave her enough money to buy couple of books. I figured I would likely never hear of her again, but she seemed better prepared than I was many years before so I was hopeful that she would do well. Then I read a report by the Economic Policy Institute “Two-thirds of college seniors who graduated in 2011 had student loan debt, with an average of $26,600 per borrower. Unemployment for young college graduates remained high at 8.8 percent in 2011, and almost 38% of college educated workers were doing jobs that do not require a college education”. I can and would pay off her loans. A good job would mean a lot more.
 
Corporate profits and the stock market at all-time highs, corporations are just sitting on billions. The cost of labor is low due to high unemployment, while tens of millions of US citizens can not find jobs, and yet The Daily Caller are reporting,the coming immigration bill bill ”will reportedly provide conditional legalization to 11 million illegals, and allow companies to annually bring roughly 1 million foreigners into the country to take blue-collar and white-collar jobs at low wages in the professional, manufacturing, construction, retail, restaurant and hotel sectors.The bill may also bring in more than 250,000 low-wage farm-workers, and allow them to apply for the valuable prize of citizenship after several years, according to The Associated Press. Roughly 20 million Americans are unemployed or underemployed. Partly because of immigration, the wages of most Americans have stalled or shrunk since 1990, widening the wage gap between blue-collar workers and professionals.” (Neil Munro)


Today, in the DC area, the technical workers in some agencies are almost 100% foreign born, leading some experts to question if the U.S. Has any future in technology. Now is not the time for the USA to give thousands of jobs (at least 4,000 in Virginia each year) when Congress does not even know the qualifications of those getting the jobs, and what they are doing. One study (Matloff) says, “Ordinary people, doing ordinary jobs.”
Currently Congress is discussing immigration reform, and that includes giving foreign students in math and science who study in the USA,more than two years to find a job (competing with your child) and allow another 88,000 H-1B visas for ordinary students from (usually) low wage countries to immigrate to USA after a period of indentured service, driving down the wages of US workers. A National Science Foundation (NSF) study said that programs like H-1B discourage US citizens from getting STEM degrees. 

Economists like Alan Greenspan who feels that the middle class are overpaid felt that depressing middle class wages was good for Wall Street. No credible study has ever shown a shortage US citizens ready to do any science or technology job, but industry and the stock market like an oversupply of unemployed workers.

Who writes the bills? Lobbyists. Why so many loopholes?

Here are some thoughts by Dr. Norman Matloff, University of California at Davis:
 But where do loopholes come from?  The answer is that the stork brings them  execpt that the "stork" here is the industry lobbyists.  You all know about the lobbyists, but you may not realize the level of detail they often get involved in during the drafting of the bill.  The Politico article quoted Robert Hoffman, one of the most powerful lobbyists, for instance, and indeed, he was involved in weakening the Durbin/Grassley bill in a past Congress. Even after a bill is enacted, the lobbyists' work is far from done. They then lobby the executive branch of the government, to make sure the regulations that implement the new statute are to their favor. So the lobbyists to a large degree are primary factors in the shaping of a law and its implementation.  In some cases, they literally write the law!  And such a case appears to be occurring right now:
http://dailycaller.com/2013/03/21/rubio-hires-democratic-lawyer-to-help-write-immigration-bill/

  
"The devil is in the details," and Rubio's lawyer consultant, Enrique Gonzalez, is from the largest immigration law firm in the nation, Fragomen..."  Rubio's consulant, the former Fragomen lawyer Gonzalez, will make sure that nothing goes wrong.  Every detail of every proposed provision  will be scrutinized by Gonzalez, and by Hoffman, to ensure that  employers maximize their access to cheap, immobile labor, and  immigration lawyers maximize their income."  
(end Matloff quote)

You may be tempted to think that in view of our national population of 300 million, 88,000 jobs given away each year is a small number.  It be over 4,000 new good paying jobs in Virginia each year; you might get one of them.  

In 2000, Rep. Tom Davis  said,  "This is not a popular bill with the public. It's popular with the CEOs." "This is a very important issue for the high-tech executives who give the money." Rep. Davis said his constituent mail was seven to one against H-1B. And in2008, then candidate Obama had dinner with CEOs seeking more H-1B visas and collected $7.8 million in campaign contributions. In 2009, Obama invited many of the same CEOs to the White House and Larry Summers assured them they would their visas despite high unemployment.

The excuse most often given for the H-1B program is that the immigrants are better workers than US citizens.  There is no proof of that at all. No study has ever shown that US workers are not as good or better. The only "proof" is that immigrant workers are paid less. They get access to benefits you pay for, in addition to their salary. You already have those benefits, so you do not thank the employer for giving them to you. Dr. Norman Matloff at the University of California at Davis has done a study that shows immigrant workers are just ordinary people, doing ordinary jobs. Read about his study.

Do the "Best and Brightest" get good pay? read how employers conspire to drive even immigrants wages down. virginia10th.blogspot.com/2013/04/h1bbrightest.html 


Why can Congress get away with this? In economics, this called “ moral hazard” a principal-agent problem, “The agent usually has more information about his or her actions or intentions than the principal does, because the principal usually cannot completely monitor the agent. The agent may have an incentive to act inappropriately (from the viewpoint of the principal) if the interests of the agent and the principal are not aligned.”(Wikipedia, “moral Hazard”)) When a Senator is getting campaign funds from a lobbyist wanting lower labor costs, you can be sure that your interests and your senator's are not aligned.  Read about moral hazard

"Good for America" almost always means, "Good for Wall Street", and  almost never means all of Americans. Someone has to pay, there is still no free lunch. When the whole truth is replaced by a half-truth and silence, the silence is a lie. Ask your representative who pays?

More competition, 88,0000 college educated immigrants are not good news for college graduates looking for jobs where they can use what they paid to learn.  When students are pushed out of one field, like many unemployed, they migrate to other areas and increase the supply of labour there, driving those labour rates down. Why is congress so determined to make employers the winners and workers the losers?  Workers don't write big checks for political campaigns?

No evidence, no DOL study, no statistics, no examination of visa applications support the existing H-1B program. Anecdotal testimony of immigration attorneys and CEOs wanting to pay lower wages is not enough to justify bringing in 88,000 low wage immigrants to do jobs that out of work American citizens are already trained to do. Congress wants to bring in more ordinary college graduates when " 37.8 percent of recent graduates are working in jobs that do not require a college degree." (NBC news) James Burke, in his book "Connections", demonstrated that genius is not a single person working by him or herself, but many people sharing knowledge,each adding a vital part. When a Fannie Mae or Homeland Security hirealmost 100% low wage immigrant workers (or H-1B graduates) they deny thatcommunity to the vast majority of American citizens, and risk our futureeconomy and security.

I do not know if Katie even needs help, I do know that if she is typical she has a very hard path to an education and a good job.We can't fix the lack of jobs one student a time. It is only by working together that we can improve the chances of all students, and their parents.

we need level the playing field for all our students, and employers. We can't let those employers who hire U.S. citizens be at a disadvantage compared to those who replace citizens with immigrants. See how employers underpay H-1B workers

Call Senator Mark Warner at 202-224-2023 and Senator Tim Kaine senator at 202) 224-4024 and ask them to end the H-1B program. If those workers are better than US citizens, the program started in 1990, where is the proof?  This legislation will be voted on soon, if you wait, it may be too late,

 (Italic text is added to original print copy)

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Pollution Costs

Common Ssnse

"More Pollution Won't Solve Our Jobs Problem" - Paul Krugman.

CONGRESS and President Obama were wrong to say we can not afford pollution regulation now. The regulation is based on the fact that pollution costs money and lives. Upgrading plants creates jobs and provides savings to the public. Electricity from old coal fired plants always has hidden costs that "tax" us with pollution that kills crops, poisons land, rivers, and fish with mercury. Not fixing pollution saves money and eliminates jobs, while the public continues to pay the costs associated with pollution.

Reducing the costs of pollution can save us $1 trillion in ten years. In explaining the deal, President Obama was silent about the costs being imposed daily by pollution, Silence can be a lie. Cleaning up the environment creates savings that exceed t the costs to make the upgrades. You won't see any of this if the facts are hidden from you. Reducing pollution from coal is not free and makes non-polluting sources attractive. That is what the coal-fired industry objects to.

INDUSTRY is responsible to investors and no one else. Rather than protect voters, Congress has failed to ensure that the long recognized costs imposed on the public be accurately quantified, apparently feeling that the exposure of the real costs will inevitably lead to the voters insisting on proper regulation.
OUR best guide for public policy is a study that has been done of costs of pollution: "Environmental Accounting for Pollution in the United States Economy" [1] by Nicholas Z. Muller, Robert Mendelsohn, and William Nordhaus. We need to know the costs, to design appropriate regulation or taxes. We want every industry to be on a level playing field, denying any benefit those industries that burden us and our children with pollution.
Table 1 from [1] showing gross external damages (GED) in billions of dollars and GED value added (VA) ratio (multiply by 100 for percent):

SectorGED (B)GED/VA
Agriculture and forestry32.00.38
Utilities62.60.34
Transportation 23.20.10
Admin, waste mngnt,remediation svcs10.70.08
Construction14.70.03
Art, entertainment, and recreation 2.20.03
Accommodation and food services4.20.02
Mining3.30.02
Manufacturing26.40.01


NOTE the top two sectors show a recurring cost to the public of $94 billion each year, while the costs the industry claims are one-time costs, and industry has a very poor record of predicting the costs of regulation, habitually estimating the costs at two or three times the worst case. From economist Paul Krugman, "it turns out that there are a number of industries inflicting environmental damage that's worth more than the sum of the wages they pay and the profits they earn - which means, in effect, that they destroy value rather than create it. High on the list, by the way, is coal-fired electricity generation" [2]).

. TODAY (16 Nov. 20011) it was reported that Obama has "decided against ratcheting up the ozone rule because of the cost and the uncertainty it would impose on industry and local governments."[3] "This was the worst thing a Democratic president had ever done on our issues," said Gene Karpinski, president of the League of Conservation Voters. "Period." [3]The worst things that Obama has done are actually more than one, but they each have one common element; consideration of the costs to business or that taxes might need to be raised on the wealthy, but no consideration of the continuing cost to the public. Look at the unrecognized costs of utilities above, 34% of the cost they charge for their products, is waste dumped on the public. If they had to pay for trash disposal, they would never fail to include that in their costs, but Obama and congress have failed to. Business must compete on all costs, including health, not just the ones they can't dump onto the public.

Harrison Picot
Independent candidate for Congress in Virginia's 10th district

[1] http://www.aeaweb.org/atypon.php?return_to=/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/aer.101.5.1649

Saturday, October 8, 2011

They Lost Their Way

Common Sense


"On the road from Glass-Steagall to Gramm-Leach-Billey, they lost their way, turning their backs on civilization, family values, and ethics; all those things they tell us are their core values."

"The Greatest Generation" is a term coined by journalist Tom Brockaw describing the generation who grew up in the United States during WW I, suffered in the Great Depresion, and and many of whom fought in WW II, while others supported the effort by working in factories, and paying taxes. Once the war was over, they supported the construction of highways, bridges, airports and port material handling systems that helped this nation sell goods to rebuild much of the world. At the same time, they paid taxes that enlarged universities that educated returning veterans and many others who contributed to the prosperity of all of us.

Not only did the greatest generation contribute to society, but many of their children have also, Warren Buffet, Bill Gates, and also many of our politicians.As Eisenhower had got us to invest in concrete highways, Al Gore took the initiative in creating the Internet and took the lead in moving forward a whole range of initiatives that have been important to our country's economic growth. Neither Portland cement highways, or electronic highways would exist without millions of taxpayers sharing the burden, and surely those same people and their children are entitled to share in the benefits of their sacrifice, they are entitled to share in the profits they made possible.

After the Great Depression banking officials realized that much of the damage of the depression was caused by banks gambling on stocks (creating a bubble) and the Glass-Steagall bill was enacted to protect depositors from bank failure by the creation of the FDIC, and limit the number of failures by forbidding commercial banks, that you and I need for our accounts, from acting as investment banks, buying securities based on toxic sub-prime loans with money we deposited. The law meant that the bnks we did not count on, the investment banks were not insured by us, and could fail. Banks saw this as a tax; you can make some money gambling with your own money, but you can make much more if you gamble with the public's money.

In 1999, the last of that protection was removed by the Gramm-Leach-Billey, introduced by Barney Frank (D) and Jim Leach (R), and signed into law by Bill Clinton. The "tax" had been removed, banks could gamble with money borrowed at low rates, but the risk to the public had been increased without any corresponding promise to share the profits. Economists like Kenneth Arrow offered to explain the risks and dangers of this "moral hazard" but there is less profit for the few in considering the risk to the public, so no one in politics was listening.

The Greatest Generation created an economy that doubled the median wage in less than one generation. The "Silent Generation" that followed them, quietly, without any public discussion of the risks to taxpayers, removed the protections and voices that the public depended on. Rather than crate wealth, they accumulated wealth by "taxing" all Americans with greater risk, higher banking fees (28% credit card interest rates) and finally, with the Great Recession when their greatest gamble, the sub-prime loan, burst. All of those profits were the product of investments by millions of Americans in good government, a condition denied them by the 1% who bent the rules to take all the profits from a doubling of productivity from 1970 to 2000. In return, they gave us credit cards with hig rates, and ATM machines.

Bad government is not a condition of size, it is a condition of leadership. No business would retain the services of employees who let departments fail to respond to the real needs of the customers who pay all the bills and we can no longer afford to "hire" representatives who will not "own" the agencies they manage. Tell us why we should be proud of your work, or go home.


This article is one of a series, "Common Sense" by

Harrison Picot

Independent candidate for congress in Virginia's 10th district

Here and at http://standupvirginia.org/

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Who Pays for Taking Risks?

Common Sense

THE twelve members of the Congressional Debt Super Committee have basically one question to answer: who will pay for the excessive risk taking that only profited a few? Those who benefited from the risk taking, and dismantling of regulation that almost crushed our economy, the one percent with high priced lobbyists who are even now writing large checks to determine the outcome of the committee,? Or the vast majority of Americans who got no benefit from sub-prime loans or unregulated derivatives,?

INCOME rose for all Americans between 1947 and 1979. A generation in which the middle fifth (quintile) of Americans saw their real family income (adjusted for inflation) more than double, growing by 114%. The income of the top quintile saw their income grow by 99 percent (the top 5 percent "only" saw their income grow by 80 percent.) The income of the lowest quintile grew by 116 percent, removing millions of people from poverty, cutting the costs of welfare, and proving the value of education, even at the bottom.[1]

BETWEEN 1979 and 2005 elections moved from in-person speeches to high priced campaigns of slogans and tv ads. When Sen. John Stennis (D-MS) ran for election in 1976, he raised no more than $5,000 in campaign funds. In 1982 Republicans saw a chance to replace him with Haley Barbor, someone who could likely raise $2 million for a campaign that would wash Stennis away. Stennis was forced to raise $2 million to compete, and he raised much of that from giant corporations that received millions in Department of Defense contracts. Stennis won, but as Bob Dole told the Wall Street Journal that summer, corporations that donate large sums "expect something in return other than good government. Elections are now being paid for by the top 1 percent, and they don't expect to see the middle class to be getting the benefits.

REAL family income between 1979 and 2005 saw the lowest quintile lose 1 percent in income, the middle quintile gain 15 percent but all of that from more wives going to work (only rich women would now be able to stay at home and instill "family values in their children). The real income of the top 5 percent of Americans, those with family incomes of more than $180,000, had been increased by 81 percent.[1]

THE top one percent of Americans take home half the total increases in income each year, and yet their taxes have been cut by more than 75% since Ronald Reagan took office. The answer to who will pay for the lack of regulation that allowed so much gambling with the future of this country should be easy, but the majority of American citizens do not have lobbyists on Capital Hill, so the issue is in doubt.T

TheHill.COM: The Joint Committee on Deficit Reduction, meets today for the first time. Americans are rightly concerned that business-as-usual will dominate, including the outsized and damaging influence of special interests and wealthy campaign contributors. Committee members Reps. Dave Camp (R-Mich.) and Xavier Becerra (D-Calif.) both held fund-raisers yesterday. At least nine of the 12 members have fund-raisers scheduled over the coming months. Lobbyists have called the super committee a "lobbying bonanza".One even said his plan to prepare for the committee was to "write 12 really large checks." [2]

STAND UP to "business-as-usual", join with others in supporting real solutions to obvious problems, like ending the bribery of congress. Ask yourself, why your representative has not been as upset as you or most Americans and why he or she has not proposed a solution hat costs you less than bailing out the banks (a process that never ends). John Kennedy once said that if average Americans will not support representatives who share their values, the few rich who are concerned about the middle class will not be enough. Fair elections would cost you 7¢, a day. Ending the bribery of Congress costs much less than bailing out banks.

Harrison Picot

Independent candidate for Congress in Virginia's 10th district
http://standupvirginia.org/ and http://virginia10th.blogspot.com/2011/7-solution.html

[1] [http://standupvirginia.org/
2] http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/campaign/180335-supercommittee-members-must-give-up-fundraising